中文摘要：

微水电作为小型可再生能源项目逐渐被关注,但其定量可行性评价研究甚少。本文基于层次分析法,建立了由目标层、子目标层、准则层、指标层和指标因子层构成的微水电项目可行性评价递阶层次结构。提出了资源技术可开发性、工程技术可行性、动能指标、被替代能源节约、温室气体减少等17个量化指标,既反映了微水电开发利用的特点,又体现了微水电对社会发展和生态环境的作用。以29个易于获取和量化的指标因子对指标赋值,解决了定性指标的量化问题。通过工程实例和敏感性分析验证了所建指标体系的合理性,为微水电开发利用决策提供参考。

英文摘要：

Micro hydropower as a small-scale renewable energy project is emphasized gradually. Yet studies on the quantitative feasibility evaluation are rare. By applying the method of analytic hierarchy process, this paper develops a hierarchy structure of feasibility evaluation for micro hydropowers. The structure contains a target layer, a subtarget layer, a criterion layer, an index layer and an index factor layer with seventeen indexes, such as resources technology development potentiality, engineering technology feasibility, energy indexes, replaced energy saving, decrease of greenhouse gases, etc. This hierarchy reflects the deTelopment features of a micro hydropower and its contributions to social development and eco-environment. In this study, twenty-nine quantifiable index factors are adopted to quantify the indexes, and application to practical project and sensitivity analysis are presented to verify the rationality of the index system that is a reference for decision making of micro hydropower development and utilization.