中文摘要：

利用灰色系统理论与时间序列分析，提出了带灰色项的时间序列模型，对这类模型进行了分析，给出了建模与预报方法，并将其应用于我国农业产值问题的预报与研究之中，模型的正确性得到了检验．

英文摘要：

In this paper, we use the grey system theory and time series analysis, put forward the grey time series model, and analyse the kind of model, give modelbuilding method and forecasting method. It is applied in agriculture with total output value and grain output value. The model＇s correctnees has been proved by forecasting test.