通过构建三阶段DEA-Malmquist模型,对2007~2012年间全国30个省、直辖市和自治区的农业全要素生产率增长情况进行测度分析。研究结果表明,我国农业全要素生产率基本是增长的且与农业经济增长呈现出一定的相关性;农业技术进步是我国农业全要素生产率增长的最主要推动力;外部环境因素的存在对农业全要素生产率的增长确实会产生影响。剔除外部环境因素影响后,有更多的地区农业全要素生产率增长对农业经济增长有拉动作用。
The three-stage DEA-Malmquist model was constructed to measure and analyze the increase situation of agricultural total-factor productivity of 30 provinces, municipalities or autonomous regions in China from 2007 to 2012. The research results showed that: the agricultural total-factor productivity of our country was basically incremental, and it presented a certain correlation with agricultural economic growth ; agricultural technological progress was the main force of driving the agricultural total-factor pro- ductivity growth in China; the existence of external environmental factors really could impact tile increase in agricultural total-factor productivity ; after removing the effects of external environmental factors, the increase in agricultural total-factor productivity in more areas had promoting effect on the agricultural economic growth.