自1980年代中期存款准备金制度建立以来,中国的货币乘数增长较快,并对货币供应量(M2)的过快增长有着重要影响;2003年之后,中央银行频繁调整法定准备金率,以之作为主要的货币政策工具。本文在国际比较的基础上,分析了我国货币乘数及其影响因素的增长变迁和背景;选取2003年至2012年1季度作为样本期间,研究了货币乘数与其影响因素间的协整关系。提出若干政策建议,以应对货币乘数的增长。
Since the deposit reserve system was established in 1980s, China's money multiplier has grown rapidly, which has had an important impact on the rapid growth of money supply ( M2 ) ; and the Central Bank of China has frequently used the required reserve policy as the main monetary policy tool since 2003. Based on inter- national comparisons, this paper studied the growth trend and background of the Money Multiplier and its determi- nants of China and estimated cointegration relationship between the money multiplier and its determinants. Some policy suggestions are presented to cope with the issue of money multiplier's growth.