以产业技术生命周期相关理论为基础,探讨CRT与TFT—LCD产业之间各类技术发展的关联性。建构产业技术发展的一般模式。研究显示,TFT—LCD与CRT产业发展是高度关联的,其技术发展的相互关系则是连续性的。根据产业技术生命周期分析,CRT产业的生命周期约40年,技术生命周期约5~6年;我国TFT-LCD产业发展时间仅10年,其每一世代的产业技术生命周期仅1.5~2年,且每进入一个新世代具有产量倍增的特性。
The issues and relations of CRT and TFT-LCD industries are discussed to build a generic model of tech-nology development, which can help the practitioners to face the industrial changes and expand their markets. The final results indicate that the development of CRT and TFT-LCD industries is highly international related, and their relations of technology development are continuous rather than discrete. Based on the analysis of industrial and technological life cycles, the study reveals that the PLC of CRT is about 40 years, while TFT-LCD is only near 20 years. It seems true that the TFT-LCD technological life cycle of each generation ranges from 1.5 years to 2 years.