中文摘要：

文章基于中国1999-2014年的省级数据,运用贝叶斯模型平均方法（BMA）从新方法和新视角检验了自然禀赋与经济增长之间的关系.通过对比资源禀赋的多种衡量指标的后验包含概率,以及前五位概率最优的单一模型,发现“资源诅咒”在中国不存在的结论.此外,文章进一步对研究样本进行拆分,发现相对于东、中部地区,西部地区在采矿业具有比较优势,易诱发“资源诅咒”现象出现.

英文摘要：

The paper examined the relationship between natural endowments and economic growth from a new method and new perspective using a Bayesian Model Averaging （BMA） method based on Chinese provincial data from 1999 to 2014. By comparing the posterior inclusion probability a variety of measures of resources endowments and the five optimal single models, the paper supports the conclusion that ＂resource curse＂ does not exist in China. The paper then breaks up the sample into west、east and middle area and find that the western region has comparative advantage in the mining industry and is easy to induce ＂resource curse＂.