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能源价格及资源税杠杆的减排效应比较研究
  • ISSN号:1007-7588
  • 期刊名称:《资源科学》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:X32[环境科学与工程—环境工程]
  • 作者机构:[1]中国矿业大学管理学院,徐州221116, [2]华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室,上海200241
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金项目(71203219、71573255); 国家社科基金重大项目(15ZDB163)
中文摘要:

在分析能源价格和资源税杠杆对碳排放的影响路径基础上,通过构建调节作用模型,借助于岭回归估计方法测量了2001-2013年两大杠杆的减排效应,并比较了其差异性。在此基础上,进一步从两大杠杆的整组压缩以及"税收-价格"传导视角出发考察了两大杠杆对碳排放的综合作用,分析了作用的动态变化特征以及相关政策在杠杆作用发挥过程中的有效性。结果表明:(1)两大杠杆均能通过经济发展的总量、结构、效率维度产生有效的碳抑制效应,但总体作用不高,分别为0.1162和0.0869,价格杠杆的作用优于资源税杠杆的作用;(2)两大杠杆共同作用时的减排效应优于单一杠杆的作用,效率路径的减排效应大于结构路径的作用;(3)价格和资源税杠杆的减排效应具有显著的动态性,并在很大程度上受到政策的影响。

英文摘要:

Based on the analysis of the influence of energy price and resource tax on carbon emissions,we used regulatory models and ridge regression to estimate and compare the reduction effect of energy price and resource tax on carbon emissions from 2001 to 2013. We compressed energy price and resource tax as a comprehensive variable,considered the transmission process of‘resource tax to energy price',and then estimated the comprehensive emission reduction effect of these two levers. The dynamic effect of the two levers and the effectiveness of related policies of regulation were then analyzed. We found that through the economic aggregate(economic structure and energy efficiency path)both of the levers can lead to carbon emission reductions;however,the effect is small and 0.1162 and 0.0869,respectively. In contrast,the effect of energy price is higher than that of resource tax. The comprehensive effect of the two levers through structure and efficiency is 0.0359 and 0.2779 respectively,which is higher than that of a single lever;furthermore,the effect of the price lever through structure and efficiency is 0.0237 and 0.2246,respectively,which is 0.2061 and 0.200 for resource tax. The effect of efficiency is more significant than structure. In comparison,the structural path is more effective for energy price and the efficiency path is more effective for resource tax. The carbon emission reduction effect of the two levers is dynamic and greatly influenced by related polices. Since the implementation of policies is influenced by many factors and there is a time lag effect,emission reduction effects of related levers may be insignificant. Emission reduction is a systematic project and requires coordination among different policy tools.

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期刊信息
  • 《资源科学》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国科学院
  • 主办单位:中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
  • 主编:成升魁
  • 地址:北京安定门外大屯路甲11号
  • 邮编:100101
  • 邮箱:zykx@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 电话:010-64889446
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1007-7588
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-3868/N
  • 邮发代号:82-4
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:42316