中文摘要：

本文主要研究了华北秋季（9月）强降水频次发生年代际变化的可能原因。分析指出,华北秋季强降水频次在2000/01年发生了年代际增强,而它的变化与北太平洋海温变化密切相关。2000/01年之前,影响华北强降水的海温关键区主要位于中国东部海域;2000/01年海温关键区向东偏移,正是这种偏移使得西北太平洋副热带高压增强,向华北地区的水汽输送增加,从而使得华北地区发生强降水的概率增加。进一步研究指出,北太平洋海温年际变率的变化可能是造成海温与华北秋季强降水频次显著相关区发生东移的原因,更多的原因还需要深入研究。

英文摘要：

The characteristics of heavy precipitation occurrence in autumn（the month of September） over North China are investigated using daily observational data.Results indicate that heavy precipitation events experienced a significant decadal increase in 2000/2001.Further investigation reveals a close connection between heavy precipitation occurrence and simultaneous North Pacific SST.The SST anomaly over the North Pacific can result in intensification of the western North Pacific subtropical high and increased water vapor transport from the tropical ocean,which benefits the occurrence of heavy precipitation over North China.However,the key region of North Pacific SST influencing heavy precipitation events over North China was different in the periods 1960-2000 and 2001-2014,being located over the eastern Ocean to China in the first period but more eastward in the second period.This drift in the key region of SST is partly responsible for the decadal increase in heavy precipitation events over North China since 2000/2001.Additionally,the changes in SST variability（a decrease in the eastern Ocean to China and an increase to its east） may have been the main reason for the eastward movement of the key region in the latter period.Certainly,more work is needed in the future to verify the findings of this study.