一个巢模型系统被把地区性的气候模型 RegCM3 嵌进一般发行量模型 tbr 构造在华东上的每月规模的地区性的气候预报。系统的错误为这个区域被提出根据10年( 1991-2000 )巢模型系统,并且气候预言中心( CPC )的数据集的结果合并了 降水( CMAP )的分析和国家气象学的中心( NMC )的温度分析,美国,它然后被使用为时期 2001-2005 由系统改正原来的预报。在对为每月的降水和 surthce 空气温度的原来、改正的预报的评价以后,改正的预报比原版显然好,这被发现,建议途径能被申请改进每月规模的地区性的气候动态 lbrecast。
A nested-model system is constructed by embedding the regional climate model RegCM3 into a general circulation model for monthly-scale regional climate forecast over East China. The systematic errors are formulated for the region on the basis of 10-yr (1991-2000) results of the nested-model system, and of the datasets of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) and the temperature analysis of the National Meteorological Center (NMC), U.S.A., which are then used for correcting the original forecast by the system for the period 2001-2005. After the assessment of the original and corrected forecasts for monthly precipitation and surface air temperature, it is found that the corrected forecast is apparently better than the original, suggesting that the approach can be applied for improving monthly-scale regional climate dynamical forecast.