中文摘要：

能源是一个国家或地区经济发展的命脉,研究能源消费的影响机理将有助于湖北省经济的可持续发展。基于湖北省2005—2015年能源相关数据,运用Granger因果关系检验方法分析了湖北省能源消费的影响因素,运用LMDI方法研究了各影响因素对湖北省能源消费的影响程度。结果表明：影响湖北省能源消费的因素主要有能源强度、能源消费结构、GDP、产业结构、劳动力投入和资本投入。其中,能源强度、GDP和劳动力投入这三个因素与能源消费总量之间存在着双向因果关系,能源消费到能源结构、能源消费到资本投入、产业结构到能源消费之间存在单向因果关系。湖北省能源消费增长的主要推动因素是固定资产投资,主要的抑制因素是能源强度。

英文摘要：

Energy was the lifeblood of economic development, studying the influencing mechanism of energy consumption would contribute to the sustainable economy development of Hubei Province. This paper utilized Granger causality test method to identify the key factors on energy consumption, and applied LMDI method to investigate the impact of each factor on energy consumption, based on the data of energy consumption from 2005 to 2015 in Hubei Province. The results showed that the influencing factors of energy consumption included energy intensity, energy consumption struc ture, GDP, industrial structure, labor input and capital input, and there was a two - way causal relationship between the energy intensity, GDP and labor input and the total energy consumption, while one - way causal relationship in energy consumption to energy structure, energy consumption to the capital investment and industrial structure to energy consumption. The main factor promoting the growth of energy consumption in Hubei Province was the investment in fixed assets, and the most important factor inhibiting the growth of energy consumption was the energy intensity.