合理地评估当前中国的国际分工地位是判断中国的出口优势与劣势以及提升中国的国际分工地位的重要依据。文章将出口技术复杂度和国内增加值率结合起来,构建了同时具有产品属性和增加值属性的国际分工地位新指标,并基于投入产出框架构建了理解国际分工地位差异的理论模型,进而对中国的国际分工地位进行了再评估。结果表明:(1)考虑服务业出口后,目前中国的国际分工地位处于最为落后的经济体行列,亚洲新兴经济体的国际分工地位普遍不高,发达经济体和资源丰富的经济体拥有较高的国际分工地位。(2)1995-2009年中国与美国、印度和巴西之间的分工地位差距有所扩大,与德国之间的分工地位差距比较稳定,而与日本之间的分工地位差距则有所缩小。(3)结构分解的分析显示,中国国际分工地位落后的主要原因是出口结构问题,即服务业出口比重过低,而国内增加值率的降低也在发挥越来越重要的影响。(4)中国国际分工地位指数的变动主要源于产业属性效应和国内增加值效应,而出口结构效应的影响则较低。因此,调整出口结构和提升国内增加值率是中国未来提升国际分工地位的两种重要方式。
Reasonable evaluation of current China's position in international division is the key basis of judging China's export strengths and weaknesses as well as improving its position in international division.This paper constructs a new index of position in international division possessing both product and domestic value added attributes by integrating export technological sophistication and domestic value added.Then it constructs a theoretical model about understanding the differences in positions in international division based on input-output framework,and re-evaluates China's position in international division.It draws the results as follows:firstly,at present,China's position in international division is in a rank of the most backward economies when considering services export;Asian emerging economies' positions in international division are generally not high,and developed and resources-rich economies are in relatively higher positions in international division;secondly,from 1995 to 2009,the differences in positions in international division between China and US,India,Brazil have widened,while the difference in positions in international division between China and Germany is relatively stable,and the difference in positions in international division between China and Japan has been reduced to some extent;thirdly,the main reason for China's backward position in international division lies in export structure,namely China's ratio of services export is relatively low,and the reduction in domestic value added also has the increasingly important effect;fourthly,the evolution of the index concerning China's position in international division stems from industry attribute effect and the effect of domestic value added,and the export structure effect is very low.Therefore,the adjustment to export structure and the enhancement of domestic value added ratio are two important ways for China to improve its position in international division.