中文摘要：

以单个概率事件形式表述的“超级思维黑洞”MHD问题的学术价值在文章中遭到具体的质疑。文章首先介绍了Baumann基于一个以单个概率事件形式表述的“两嘉宾一轿车”版本的MHD问题对上述问题所展开的讨论、所引起的争论及其探讨所存在的缺陷；然后重点阐述了笔者以MHD问题中嘉宾最后选择策略的意义为基点所展开的新质疑。根据笔者的推导，在单个概率事件形式表述的MHD问题中将得出一个极端荒谬的结论：嘉宾获车的概率决定于嘉宾的主观意念。这一结论的出现显示出该形式的MHD问题应该遭受质疑。

英文摘要：

Whether the probability applied to a single case MHD is meaningful was discussed in this paper. Baumann＇ s arguments （2005,2008） on this problem which are based on a modified MHD with two players was introduced first. Then, a new doubt about the probability applied to a single case MHD from the author was given. The author＇ s view conducted as follows： （ 1 ）The probability of the player winning prize depends on the player＇s selection strategies at the last stage in MHD which was ignored by most researchers; （2） The meaning of the player＇ s choice either switch or stick is multiple ; （ 3 ） The player can refresh his probability of winning prize only by change his mind in a single case MHD; （4）The result which is obvious absurd is only happened in single case MHD;（5）The probabili- ty applied to single case MHD is meaningless.