为动态模拟城市土地利用变化,以复杂适应系统理论为基础,通过集成多智能体、GIS和元胞自动机建立城市发展模型,并以Repast和ArcGIS为基础设计实现了城市土地利用动态模拟系统,并以广州市番禺区为例进行了仿真实验。仿真结果表明,该方法是一种模拟土地利用变化的有效方法,可以为城市建设、管理和规划工作提供辅助决策支持。
In order to dynamically simulate the urban land use change, this paper established an urban evolution model based on the theory of complex adaptive system and the integration of multi-agent, GIS and cellular automata(CA) , and developed urban land use dynamic simulation system(ULUDSS) based on Repast and ArcGIS. Then ULUDSS was tested by simulating the land use change of Panyu district of Guangzhou city which was taken as a case study area. The results show that it is a use- ful way to simulate urban land use change and can provide supplementary decision support for urban construction, management and planning work.