参考相关文献界定基本气象公共服务均等化内涵,并设计基本公共气象服务均等化水平多层次评价指标体系,对2013年的统计数据整理归纳出10个指标,用因子分析分成3类;由层次分析法构建层次结构关系图,通过专家咨询得出判断矩阵,依据判断矩阵定量计算出准则层和指标层中各因素的相对权重,然后对2013年全国31个省域基本公共气象服务均等化水平应用灰色关联综合评价模型进行实证分析。结果表明:基本公共气象服务均等化水平由西向东阶梯状递增、省域之间差异较大、总体水平偏低;大致可以分成较高、一般、较低3个区域等级;与省域经济、财政收入、综合发展能力正相关。
Based on the equalization conception of basic public weather services,considering relevant research results,we selected the statistical data of 2013,summarizing 10 indicators,and divided into three categories with factor analysis.Then we build a multi-level evaluation index system of equalization of basic public weather services.According to AHP to construct the hierarchical graph,we quantitatively calculated the relative weights of the factors of the rule layer and the index layer by consulting the experts to obtain judgment matrix.Through the application of grey relational comprehensive evaluation model,we conducted an empirical analysis of the national 31 provincial equalization of basic public weather services in2013.The results show that the overall level of the equalization of basic public weather services in China is low,and the unbalanced provincial development,ladder features from East,Central,and West China are found.Provinces can be divided into three levels:high,medium,and low.Besides,there is positive correlation between the level of the equalization and the provincial economic strength,financial revenue scale,and comprehensive development capacity.