运用PSTR模型,实证研究了我国城镇化对能源消费的影响存在显著的非线性特征。结果发现:经济发展水平和开放程度对城镇化能源消费效应的影响均具有双门限的非对称特征,处于外体制中经济发展水平较高与较低的省份,城镇化的能源消费效应较小,该结论也适用于经济开放程度这一转换变量;其他转换变量对城镇化的能源消费效应影响均只存在一个位置参数,并将各省份分为高低两个体制,高体制中产业结构水平较高,城镇化降低能源消费总量;高体制中要素市场扭曲程度较高,城镇化的能源消费效应较大,在技术进步明显、环境规制严格和人力资本水平高的省份,城镇化对能源消费的降低作用越大。
The paper empirically studies on the Influence of urbanization on energy consumption by the PSTR model. Results show that the urbanization has obvious nonlinear effect on energy consumption. There are asymmetric characteristics of double threshold for effect of economic development level and economic openness degree on energy consumption effects of the urbanization,there is less for energy consumption effects of the urbanization in the higher and lower provinces of economic development level,this conclusion also applies to economic openness degree. Other conversion variables have only one position parameter,which divides provinces into two systems,the urbanization reduces total energy consumption in high industrial structure level of the high system,there is greater for energy consumption effects of the urbanization in high market factors distortion level of the high system,in the provinces for obvious technological progress,strict environmental regulation and high human capital,there is relatively great for the reduction effect of urbanization on energy consumption.