本文在计算Ellision-Glaeser集聚指数(EG指数)的基础上,基于山东半岛城市群28个制造业行业2003—2010年面板数据,运用动态面板广义矩估计(GMM)方法对城市群内产业集聚与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。实证结果显示:产业集聚与经济增长之间并非简单的线性关系,而是呈现出倒U型曲线关系,适度集聚带来规模经济,过度集聚则会引起规模不经济。最后,针对这一结果给出了理论分析及结论启示。
On the basis of calculating the Ellision-Glaeser agglomeration index ( EG index ) and the 28 manufacturing industry panel data ,2003 -2010, of Shandong peninsula city group, this article does an empirical study on the relationship between industrial agglomeration and economic growth with dynamic panel GMM Estimation (GMM) method. The result shows: industrial agglomeration and economic growth is not a simple linear relationship, but presents an inverted U relationship. Moderate agglomeration brings scale economy, while excessive agglomeration will cause diseconomies of scale. Finally, according to the results, this paper put forward the theoretical analysis and conclusion enlightenment.