研究目标:测算1995-2009年中国增加值出口排污强度,分析其变化趋势及影响因素。研究方法:利用多区域投入产出模型构建八种空气污染物的增加值出口排污强度,利用结构分解方法考察其变化的影响因素。研究发现:中国增加值出口排污强度出现显著的下降,但仍远高于其他出口强国。中国增加值出口排污强度下降主要源于生产部门直接排污强度的下降。相反,2000年以来中间投入结构变化不利于增加值排污强度的下降。这两个因素也是造成中国增加值排污强度与发达国家存在差异的主要因素。研究创新:构建增加值排污强度指标来考察中国出口环境成本及其影响因素。研究价值:增进对中国出口环境成本变化趋势及其影响因素的理解。
Research Objectives: Measuring the emissions intensity of value-added exports of China and examining its dynamics and determinants during 1995-2009. Research Methods: Con- structing emissions intensities of value-added exports for 8 types of air pollutants based on a multi- regional input-output model and exploring their determinants of changes using structural decomposi- tion analysis. Research Findings: China's emissions intensities of value-added exports declined sig- nificantly during study period, but were still much greater than those of major developed coun- tries. The decrease of China's emissions intensities of value-added exports was mainly due to the de- crease of direct emissions intensities of production, whereas changes of input structure after 2000 drove up the emissions intensities. These two factors also shaped the gap in emissions intensities of value-added exports between China and key developed economies. Research Innovations: Examining environmental cost of export production in China and its determinants by evaluating emissions inten- sities of value-added exports for 8 types of air pollutants. Research Value: Enhancing our under- standings on environmental cost of export production in China and its determinants.