基于WIOD数据库测算了1995-2009年中国增加值出口总量,分析其被吸收的途径、国别(地区)流向和部门分布。结果发现,出口统计数据夸大了总出口;增加值出口的增长集中在2001年中国加入WTO之后;增加值出口主要被直接进口国所吸收,被第三国间接吸收份额小;增加值出口主要流向发达经济体,但流向新兴经济体的比重随全球价值链的发展而上升。从部门结果来看,中国制造业出口带来的利润不高,资源型行业的出口获利较多但会导致资源和环境问题。
Based on the world input-output database, this paper measures China' s value-added export (VAX) and analyzes its way of absorption, region flows and industry distribution. Results show that statistics exaggerate the real exports~ the VAX increased rapidly after China joined the WTO; China's VAX was mainly absorbed by the direct importers, while the proportion absorbed by the third country was small; VAX flows to developed countries, but the proportion to emerging e- conomies grows with the development of global value chain. Sectors' results show that the profit of China's export of manufacturing products is not high, while the resource-intensive sectors' export get more profit but will probably bring about resource and environmental problems.