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财税政策、城乡收入差距与中国居民消费的非线性效应研究
  • ISSN号:1004-4892
  • 期刊名称:《财经论丛》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]
  • 作者机构:[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079, [2]湖南财政经济学院财金系,湖南长沙410205
  • 相关基金:国家社科基金资助项目(14BJY159);教育部博士点基金资助项目(20130161110044);湖南省重点建设学科建设项目(湘教发[2011]76号)
中文摘要:

为了验证财税政策对居民消费存在的非线性效应,文章系统考察了因城乡收入差距的第三方外部因素存在差异时,财税政策对居民消费影响效应的变化情况。面板门槛计量模型研究发现,以城乡收入差距门槛值作为外生变量构建的分段函数中,税收负担和财政支出规模促进居民消费的城乡收入差距绝对数最优区间分别为4015元-7016元和7912元-10323元;税制结构和财政支出结构促进的城乡收入差距相对数最优区间分别为0.126—0.171和0.127—0.172。因此,应当辩证看待政府财税政策对居民消费的影响作用,促进我国居民消费的关键点在于财税政策的合理制定与实施。

英文摘要:

To verify the nonlinear effects that fiscal policies exert on the level of resident consumption, this paper exam-ines the changes in the effect of Chinese fiscal policy on the level of resident consumption when the third - party external factor(the income gap between urban and rural areas) differentiates. The study of the panel threshold econometric model shows thatin the piecewise function of fiscal policies and the level of resident consumption, which is constructed with the income gapthreshold as an external variable, the optimal interval of the income gap absolute value with regard to tax burdens and the fi-nancial expenditure scale that could promote the level of resident consumption is 4015 to 7016 RMB and 7912 to 10323 RMBrespectively. Similarly, the optimal interval of the income gap relative value with regard to tax structure and the financial ex-penditure structure that could boost the level of resident consumption is 0. 126 to 0. 171 and 0. 127 to 0. 172 respectively.Therefore, we should dialectically look upon the effect that fiscal policies exert on the level of resident consumption. That is,fiscal policies would generate neither absolute positive influence nor absolute negative influence on the level of resident con-sumption. The influence depends more on the effects of external factors. The key point to promote the level of resident con-sumption in China is the reasonable design and implementation of fiscal and tax policies.

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期刊信息
  • 《财经论丛》
  • 北大核心期刊(2011版)
  • 主管单位:浙江省新闻出版局
  • 主办单位:浙江财经大学
  • 主编:王俊豪
  • 地址:杭州市下沙高教园区学源街18号609#
  • 邮编:310018
  • 邮箱:cjlc@zufe.edu.cn
  • 电话:0571-87557385
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1004-4892
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:33-1154/F
  • 邮发代号:32-27
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库,中国北大核心期刊(2000版)
  • 被引量:9396