省级政府主导规划、以中心城市为聚集点、毗邻城市群为协作方的经济开发区是地市级政府自愿合作治理创新和政府间协调机制调整的典型范例。但是,这种以利益共享为出发点、以竞争力提升为目标的分区规划也存在加剧省域内分异的可能。基于以上假设,文章以我国东部地区的国家级经济区———沈阳经济区为研究对象,采用潜在产出理论和HP滤波、离散虚拟模型,讨论了2000-2010年间经济开发区和非经济开发区分异演变趋势。实证分析表明,省域内经济开发区和非经济开发区分异程度较重,经济增长分异程度大于社会与民生发展分异程度。政府主导的分区战略规划,是导致区域发展分异的重要冲击源。其政策性启示是,省际竞合执政理念下的经济区与非经济区之间的统筹均衡规划应是地区科学发展的应由之路。
Provincial governments -led planning, assembling in central city,adjoining urban agglomeration for cooperating are the typical examples of voluntary co - operation of innovate administration by prefecture - level city government and the adjustment coordinating mechanism between govermnents. But taking benefit -sharing as the starting point, and promoting the competitiveness as the target, this kind of zoning may reinforce provincial differentiation. Based on the assumption above, the paper analyzes the evolution trend of differentiation in Shenyang Economic zone and Non -economic zone during 2000 -2010 by Potential Output Theory, I-IP Filtering Model and Virtual Model. The results indicate that:l )the problems on differentiation on Shenyang economic zone and non -economic zone is serious. 2)the differentiation on economic growth is more serious than those on social development and people's livelihood. 3)these supportive policies on economic zoning, as an important im- pact source, increase the degree of differentiation of area development. Policy inspiration is that the way of balanced planning as a whole is necessary for local area's scientific development.