在借鉴适应性学习预期通过每期不断纳入新信息所刻画的学习机制的基础上,本文提出了基于支持向量回归(SVR)的学习预期,并将SVR通胀预期引入菲利普斯曲线,以构建带学习预期和理性预期的混合学习菲利普斯曲线。在对SVR通胀预期进行测度的基础上,本文利用2001.I-2014.IV的季度数据,对我国混合学习菲利普斯曲线进行实证分析,并与其他预期增广的菲利普斯曲线进行对比分析。
On the basis of adaptive learning expectation,this paper proposes support vector regression(SVR) learning expectation,and constructs hybrid learning Phillips Curve with SVR inflation expectation and rational expectation.With the measure of SVR inflation expectation and 2001.I-2014.IV quarterly data,this paper positively analyzes the Chinese hybrid learning Phillips Curve,and compares different Phillips Curves with different inflation expectations.