中文摘要：

传统国际贸易理论几乎都把充分就业作为基本前提，这明显与现实不相符合。广东是外贸大省，同时也是一个就业大省。实证分析表明，广东省的进口和出口都是就业的Granger原因。广东出口增加1％，广东城镇就业增加0．76％；进口增加1％，广东城镇就业减少0．77％。就业是民生之本．我们要实行更加有利于促进就业和减少失业的对外贸易政策，将促进国内就业作为制定、调整货物和服务进出口政策以及处理贸易争端的重要依据。

英文摘要：

It does not conform to the reality obviously that the traditional international trade theory regards full employment as a basic premise. Most of the existing research literatures about the impact of international trade on labor market are based on an industry or regional empirical analyses. The conclusions may be different, and even opposite. The impact of international trade on employment is likely to be a positive issue. Guangdong is a large province in terms of trade, and also a big province in terms of employment. The empirical analysis shows that the province＇s import trade and export trade are both the Granger causes of the growth of the employment. If its export trade increases by 1%, the urban employment will increase by 0.76%. If the import trade increases by 1%, the urban employment will decrease by 0.77%. The employment is the basis of the people＇s life, so we have to implement a more conducive trade policy to promote the employment and reduce the unemployment. We shall regard the promotion of employment as an important foundation for the adjustment of import and export of goods and services, the trade policy as well as the treatment of trade dispute.