中文摘要：

随中国经济创新转型的大力实施及市场化改革的不断深入，当创新服务需求因转型而不断加大时，一省区极有可能因满足外部的创新服务需求而获得自身的创新发展。论文不仅使用探索性空间数据分析工具研究了1999—2010年中国各省区创新专利产出的空间分布格局与特征，并以一个表征市场潜能对地区创新发展影响的新经济地理学模型为基础，运用空间误差面板数据方法，考察了外部潜在的创新服务需求即市场潜能给地区创新发展带来的直接空间溢出效应。结果发现，中国创新发展存在随时间推移而日益加大的正向溢出性，并且市场潜能因素对中国各省区的创新发展及相互溢出具有重要影响，只不过由市场潜能所引致的创新空间溢出存在随地区间隔距离增大而减小的地理特性。

英文摘要：

With the market - oriented reforms and the innovative transformation of China~ economy, a province is likely to get access to development due to meet external demand for innovative services when the demand for innovative services is constantly increasing. Based on the ESDA method,this paper not only explores the feature of regional linkage and the spatial correlation among China＇s region- al innovation output of patent from 1999 to 2010, but also try to explore the effect of the potential market on the regional innovation de- velopment or regional spillover in China with the help of the new - economy - geographical model. We find that there exists global spa- tial autocorrelation all over the country, and this kind of autocorrelation has been increasing since 1999. Meanwhile, the empirical a- nalysis shows the potential market is important to the regional innovation growth and innovation spillover among regions. However the spatial spillover effect caused by the potential market will gradually vanish as the distance between regions increase.