中文摘要：

在事故致因的HFACS模型基础上，采用层次分析法对各影响因素进行了量化表述，构建了事故致因的综合指标体系。对典型案例的量化计算结果与事故调查报告所列各因素重要度排序基本吻合，量化结果提高了判断的准确性和可信度。

英文摘要：

The estimating indicator system of the civil aviation accident cause, which bases on the HFACS model is established. Then the weights of indicators in a typical inccident are calculated with the method of AHP. Finally, the indicators are quantitatively estimated, and the weights of indicators are analyzed.