中文摘要：

对旅游突发事件预警进行了分析,给出了旅游突发事件的人工免疫模型,建立了基于人工免疫模型的旅游突发事件预警系统.应用预警系统对旅游突发事件进行了分类,得出了一种新的旅游突发事件分类方式,可以有效地对旅游突发事件进行预警.

英文摘要：

In this paper, the tourism events forecasting is analyzed, and the tourist emergency events artificial immune model is presented. The tourist emergency events forecasting system based on artificial immune model is established. A new classification method for tourist emergency events is obtained by applying the forecasting system, so that the prediction can be carried on effectively.