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中文摘要：
基于出口贸易的三元边际框架,运用1995-2012年中国对美出口贸易及美国对华反倾销的时间序列数据,构建了Poisson回归模型并进行实证分析.结果表明：1995-2012年间,中国对美出口贸易的出口数量增长最为迅速,出口广度增长较为缓慢,出口价格增长几乎为零,表明中国对美出口贸易增长是一种以数量扩张、低价竞争为主的粗放型增长方式;出口广度、出口数量的增长会促进美国对华反倾销调查数量的增加,而出口价格的增长会抑制美国对华反倾销调查的数量,不合理的出口贸易结构是美国频繁对华反倾销的直接诱因.
英文摘要：
Based on the ternary-margin framework for export trade and by using 1995 -2012 time series data from Sino-US exports and American anti-dumping against China, the Poisson Regression Model is constructed by which an empirical analysis is conducted. The results show that from 1995 to 2012 the number of China export trade to the U.S. increases the most quickly with a slow increase in export breadth and a zero increase in export price, which implies that the growth of China export trade to the U.S. is an extensive mode predominated by quantity expansion and low-price competition, and that the increase in export breadth and export quantity tends to help increase U.S. anti-dumping, investigations against China while the increase in export price tends to restrain the quantity of U. S. anti-dumping investigations against China, and that the unreasonable export trade structure is a direct cause for U.S. frequent anti-dumping cases against China.
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