中文摘要：

提出了一种森林火险天气等级预报的连续化模型,该模型克服了现有国家标准中预报结果阶跃,即气象数据只有微小差异但计算出的火险等级差距却较大,导致预报误差较大的问题。同时利用GIS系统所提供的小区域地理环境和地图数据,对该模型连续化分布森林火险预报实现方法进行了研究,对比显示该模型提高了预报的准确性。

英文摘要：

A continuous forecast model of forest fire weather is put forward and it has overcome forecast result step problems existing in the national standard, where only slight difference can result in large difference in calculated fire danger rating, leading to the phenomenon of large forecast errors. The model also uses small area geography and map data tools provided in the GIS software to realize the study on realization methods for continuous distribution-based forest fire forecast and contrast shows the improved accuracy of forecast.