中文摘要：

本文选取1998年、2008年两个时间断面,综合运用SPSS和Arc GIS软件定量分析泛长三角城市旅游业绩效系统空间分异特征,并对其演变趋势进行了探讨。泛长三角城市旅游业系统呈现明显的空间分异,空间格局表现为以上海为中心的长三角地区绩效值较大,安徽省的旅游业绩效值较小,子系统绩效值与旅游业发展水平呈较高的线性相关性;在此基础上,客观地划分城市旅游业绩效类型,并基于时空尺度对城市旅游业绩效子系统进行趋势分析与拟合,表明子系统演变趋势符合线性增长模式,有着较好的提升空间。

英文摘要：

By choosing the year of 1998 and 2008 as two time sections, this paper conducts quantitative analysis of the perform system space differentiation characteristics of urban tourism in Pan - Yangtze River Delta by use of SPSS and ArcGIS software, and then discusses its evolution trend. The urban tourism system presents obvious spatial differentiation in Pan - Yangtze River Delta, with spatial pattern presenting high performance value in Shanghai - centered Yangtze Riv- er Delta, low value in Anhui province, high linear correlation between subsystem performance value and level of tourism development. On this basis, the type of the urban tourism performance is objectively divided. Finally, from the perspec- tive of spatial - temporal scale, the trend analysis and fitting are conducted for urban tourism performance subsystem, which shows the evolution trend conforms to the linear growth model and has a good promotion space.