中文摘要：

借鉴联合国贸发会议“业绩指数”和“潜力指数”，通过构建中国对21世纪“海上丝绸之路”国家的直接投资业绩与潜力指数，定量分析了中国对其中15个国家的投资业绩与潜力，结果显示：对比2003-2006年、2009-2012年中国对“海上丝路”国家的投资业绩呈上升趋势且存在明显的不平衡；投资潜力虽有上升但总体幅度不大，存在个别国家的综合潜力排名与构成要素排名不一致的情况；交叉比较来看，除对个别领先和落后国家，中国对大部分国家的投资业绩与潜力不相匹配。鉴于此，中国企业要选择合适的“海上丝路”国家和投资方式以实现投资目标。

英文摘要：

Based on the FDI performance index and potential index proposed by UNCTAD, this paper establishes ODI performance index and potential index and analyzes the actual performance and potential of China＇s ODI to the 15 countries along the ＂Maritime Silk Road＂. The results show that： compared with 2003 -2006 period, China＇s ODI potential nearly remained unchanged. The rankings of comprehensive potential are inconformity with individual elements potential in some ＂Maritime Silk Road＂ countries. Except for a few leading and backward countries, most ＂Maritime Silk Road＂ countries＇ ODI performance do not match their potential from the cross-comparison of ODI performance and potential index. So Chinese enterprises should choose the suitable ODI industries and ＂Maritime Silk Road＂ countries in order to achieve their investment goals.