从R&D活动的特点来看,以财务指标为主的传统风险评价方法并不适用于R&D项目的风险评价。我们将研发过程分为三个阶段,分别确定各阶段的风险因子,据此设置了研发财务风险评价指标体系。在此基础上,引入模糊综合评价方法,构建了研发过程财务风险二级模糊综合评价模型,并以一家生物制药企业为例,对该公司菌苗项目中试阶段的财务风险状态进行了评价。
The financial risk of R&D project can not be ignored, and the traditional evaluation method can not judge the financial risk of R&D project because of the characteristic of R&D project. This paper divides the R&D progress into three phrases and finds out the risk factors of every phases, and sets a factors system of financial risk of R&D base on risk factors, Then the authors introduce fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method into financial risk evaluation and present a two stages evaluation model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. At last, as an example, the authors evaluate the financial risk of a vaccine trial project of a biopharmaceutical company's use the model.