中文摘要：

文章采用动态面板数据模型考察了1978-2011年政府民生支出对东、中、西部地区农村居民消费的影响,研究表明中国财政民生支出在一定程度上挤入了农村居民消费,但不同地区的政策效果存在明显差异。接下来以预防性储蓄理论为基础,运用误差修正模型,对民生支出影响农村居民消费政策效果差异的原因进行了相应解释,研究表明在经济体制改革进程中中国农村居民表现出明显的预防性储蓄动机,即支出的不确定性对农村居民消费产生负向影响,其中对中西部地区的负向影响显著大于东部。

英文摘要：

In this paper, by using China＇ s provincial panel data from 1978 to 2011, we have done empirical analysis on the dynamic effect of government expenditure on livelihood on rural resident consumption demand. The result shows that government expenditure on livelihood has a positive correlation with rural resident consumption de- mand. But the effects of policy are different between the three regions. The reason is that the rural residents have precautionary motives in China. And the uncertainty of expenditure has greater negative effect on central and west than east residents.