如何构建与城市圈经济发展水平相适应的综合交通体系是城市圈综合交通规划需要解决的现实问题,分析城市圈综合交通发展的阶段性特征是解决这一问题的关键.本文基于综合运输与经济社会发展的适应性理论和产品生命周期理论,将城市圈经济发展阶段划分为发育期、成长期、成熟期和融合消散期四个阶段;提出了城市圈综合交通需求特征分析的思路及分析的主要指标,分析了城市圈经济社会发展的不同阶段对综合交通运输体系的需求特征;最后以武汉城市圈为实例,应用反熵权法和经济节点重要度法系统分析了武汉城市圈所处的发展阶段及其综合交通需求特征,对本文主要理论及方法进行了验证.
It is an important problem how to build an integrated transportation system, which compatibles with the economic development level of urban agglomeration. The key to solve the problem is analyzing the stage characteristics of urban agglomeration. On the basis of economic adaptability theory and product life cycle theory, this paper divides the economic development period of urban agglomeration as four stages, namely, development period, growth stage, mature period and decline phase. It proposes the ideas and the main indicators for analyzing the integrated transportation demand for urban agglomeration. It also analyzes the demand characteristics of integrated transportation system in the different economic and social stages. At last, in order to verify the main point, taking Wuhan urban agglomeration as a case study based on theeconomic node importance method and anti-entropy weight method.