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基于协整与Granger因果分析的地区一体化进程研究——以京津冀和长三角为例
  • ISSN号:1003-2363
  • 期刊名称:《地域研究与开发》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:F127[经济管理—世界经济]
  • 作者机构:[1]厦门大学经济研究所,福建厦门361005
  • 相关基金:国家自然科学基金资助项目(70303019);福建省新世纪优秀人才计划资助项目
中文摘要:

基于协整分析和Granger因果检验,分析了京津冀和长三角1980年以来地区一体化发展进程。研究发现,从总体上看,京津冀和长三角地区一体化进程都在不断加深。京津冀地区,1980-1992年,北京与天津、北京与河北间都不存在Granger关系,天津和河北不存在协整关系;1993-2004年间,京津冀区域一体化不断加深,北京是河北、北京是天津的Granger原因;长三角地区,上海与江苏不存在协整关系,1980-1992年,上海与浙江、江苏与浙江之间不存在Granger因果关系,而在1992-2004年,上海与浙江、江苏与浙江均存在Granger因果关系。

英文摘要:

This paper examines the regional integration process of Jing-Jin-Ji region and Yangzi River delta based on co-integration and Granger test from the year of 1980. The research shows that the courses of integration both in Jing-Jin-Ji region and Yangzi River delta are deepening continually in general. More specific results are as follows : ( 1 ) In the region of Jing-Jin-Ji, there was not a Granger relation between Beijing and Tianjing from 1980 to 1992. It was also the case between Beijing and Hebei. There did not exist co-integration between Tianjin and Hebei in the same period; (2) During the period of 1993 to 2004, the integration process of Jing-Jin-Ji region was strengthened constantly. Beijing was the Granger reason of Hebei and Tianjin simultaneously; (3) In the delta of Yangzi River, there did not exist co-integration between Shanghai and Jiangshu. Interestingly, there was not a Granger relationship between Shanghai and Zhejiang, there was not a Granger relationship between Shanghai and Jiangsu from 1980 to 1992. Also, it was the case between Shanghai and Zhejiang. However, from 1992 to 2004, there was a Granger causality relationship both between Shanghai and Zhejiang and between Jiangsu and Zhejiang.

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期刊信息
  • 《地域研究与开发》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:河南省科学院
  • 主办单位:河南省科学院地理研究所 河南省发展计划委员会地理研究所
  • 主编:冯德显
  • 地址:郑州市陇海中路64号
  • 邮编:450052
  • 邮箱:yjkf@vip.sohu.com
  • 电话:0371-67939201
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1003-2363
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:41-1085/P
  • 邮发代号:36-109
  • 获奖情况:
  • 全国优秀地理期刊,河南省优秀科技期刊20家提名候选期刊,2000荣获首届《CAJ-CA规范》执行优秀奖
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 中国中国人文社科核心期刊,中国中国科技核心期刊,中国北大核心期刊(2004版),中国北大核心期刊(2008版),中国北大核心期刊(2011版),中国北大核心期刊(2014版),中国国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库
  • 被引量:21587