通过对行为概率的数学模型进行分析,首先确定制度改善的方向,随后综合考虑被管理者的期望回报和管理者的制度成本,对制度改善的方法进行研究,得出制度改善的直接方法是增加提倡行为的期望回报,降低不良行为的期望回报,而到了操作层面则需要增大不良行为的观测概率、增大提倡行为的制度回报或降低不良行为的制度回报.
Mathematical model of behavior probability was analysed,and the destination of system improving was found out,take fully account of expectancy and system cost,the conclusion that increasing the expectation of good behavior and reducing the expectation of bad behavior would be drawn.But as for the reality,the probability of bad behavior should be amplified,and the system return of good behavior should be increased or the system return of bad behavior should be reduce.