为分析多模式综合交通方式下的强制、休闲活动出行行为差异性,基于旅客高速巴士、普铁、高铁和飞机四种运输方式RP调查数据,建立旅客乘车选择多项logit(MNL)模型,基于参数估计和弹性分析,揭示多模式综合交通客运方式选择行为及其差异性.研究结果表明:出行距离、出行费用、运行时间、安全性、舒适性、准时性、网络购票、售票点购票、拥有私家车是影响旅客强制型、休闲型活动出行方式选择的主要共性因素,不同因素对旅客强制型、休闲型活动出行方式选择的影响程度具有明显的差异性;另外,到站时间对强制型活动出行方式选择有显著影响,对休闲型活动出行方式选择影响并不显著.
The travel activities of passengers were divided into compulsory activities and leisure activities in this paper. The survey data of four kinds of transport modes were obtained by residents travel survey including intercity bus, train, high speed railway and plane. Taking bus as the reference mode, the MNL model is built. Based on the parameter estimation and elasticity analysis, the difference of the choice behavior for multi-mode transportation system is studied. The results show that travel distance, travel cost, operation time, safety, comfort, punctuality, network ticket, show ticket and car ownership are the main common factors influencing regional travel modes choice for compulsory activities and leisure activities. Different factors have obvious differences on the influence degree for regional travel modes choice about compulsory activities and leisure activities. Additionally, arrival time has a significant effect on the travel mode choice of the compulsory activity, and has no effect on the travel mode choice of the leisure activities.