在厘清主导产业选择理论、城市新区发展定位的基础上,本文构建了城市新区主导产业选择的理论分析框架。以成都天府新区为研究对象,对其所在区域的经济结构、就业结构和城市空间进行分析,明确了新区的发展定位;运用投入产出分析法和二维产业筛选模型,对新区主导产业进行了选择,建议将休闲与观光农业、新一代信息技术产业、节能与新能源汽车、新材料、金融服务、科技研发与服务、会展博览和与文化旅游等产业作为未来十年的主攻方向。
On the basis of clearing up the theory of leading industry selection and the development orientation of the new urban district,this paper presents a theoretical analytical framework for selection of the leading industry in urban district. Taking Chengdu Tianfu New Area as the research object,this paper analyzes the economic structure,employment structure and urban space of this area,and clarifies its development orientation; Using the input-output analysis and two-dimensional industry screening model,it selects the leading industry for the new area. In the next 10 years,the main development direction include leisure and sightseeing agriculture,new generation of information technology,energy saving and new energy vehicles,new materials,financial services,science and technology RD and services,convention and exhibition expo,cultural tourism and other industries.