根据中国水利部相关资料,将全国用水分为工业、农业及生活用水三个方面。建立了多项式回归模型并预测2012~2025年的工业、农业用水需求量,用灰色模型预测生活用水需求量,进而知道2030年全国用水总需求为678.9148 Gm3,较《中国可持续发展水资源战略研究综合报告》更符合中国的发展规划。
We divide the national water into industrial, agricultural and domestic water according to some information of china ministry. We obtain polynomial regression models and forecast the demand for water in industrial and agricultural from 2013 to 2015 year. Using a Grey model, we forecast the demand for domestic water from 2013 to 2015 year. Moreover, we conclude that the demand for water is 6273. 997 - 6789. 148 billion cubic meters in the future. Our conclusions are better than 〈 the comprehensive report of China's sustainable development strategy research 〉.