通过构建直接效应、调节效应以及状态空间模型,借助于岭回归等方法研究发现:在我国,能源价格通过影响经济结构进而作用于碳排放的路径存在阻滞,而能源价格能通过经济总量和能源效率对碳排放产生有效的同向和反向调节,前者的强度大于后者。因此,实践中经济增长与碳排放控制之间的矛盾是突出的,需要充分发掘经济结构这条渠道的作用,才能在保证经济增长的基础上实现能源价格合理上升条件下的碳排放控制。
By constructing direct effect, adjusting effect models and SSMs with the method of ridge regression, it is found that in China, the economic structure channel of energy price influencing carbon emission is blocked. Energy price has respectively positive and negative adjusting effect on carbon emission through economic aggregate and energy efficiency, and the intensity of the former is bigger than the latter. As the contradiction of economic growth and carbon emission controlling is prominent in practice, function of economic structure channel should be fully developed so as to control carbon emission effectively based on economic growth by reasonable energy price increasing.