采用人口基尼指数、人口重心、相对资源承载力等指标和方法,分析1987—2007年兰州—西宁区域31市县人口集中性和差异性,并计算相对资源承载力大小。结果表明:①兰州—西宁区域总人口和非农业人口集中指数和基尼指数变化趋势相反,其中非农业人口集中指数、基尼指数有增大趋势;②人口重心、经济重心和非农业人口重心三心位置不一致,但是移动方向相似,且经济重心移动的速度最大;③区域范围内人口分布与经济总量高度相关,人口与耕地表现出较弱的正相关性;④兰州—西宁区域人口属于超载状态,但是超载的人口规模在减小;最后将31市县分为超载类型区、富余类型区和临界类型区三种类型区。
Using population Gini-index, population gravity center and relative resources carrying capacity, this paper analyzed the population concentration and divergence in 1987-2007, and calculated the relative resources carrying capacity of 31 urban and city in Lanzhou-xining region.The results showed that: (1)In Lanzhou-Xining area, population concentrate index and population Gini-index change contrarily to total population and non-agricultural population' s. And non-agricultural population concentrate index and Gini index has an enhancing tendency; (2)The population gravity center, economy gravity center and non-agricultural population' s gravity center don' t match together, but the direction of movement is similar, the speed of economy gravity movement is the fastest; (3)In the region, population distribution is highly correlated with the total economic output, population and cultivated land shows a weak positive correlation; (4)The population in Lanzhou-Xining area is in an overload state, but the overloading population decreases. In the end, the article divides 31 urban and cities into three regions: overloaded region, superabundance region, critical region.