中文摘要：

文章在新经济地理学模型的基础上加入了企业异质性因素，构建“新”新经济地理学模型，以此来考察转移支付、产业跨区转移和地方全要素生产率之间的关系。理论研究表明：与新经济地理学研究结论相似，转移支付可以引起产业转移，但存在“门槛效应”。同时，由于“排序效应”的存在，转移支付将导致最低生产效率的企业率先对补贴作出反应，从而导致产业承接地生产效率的降低。使用中国31个省份1999—2012年的数据，根据DEA计算出的全要素生产率以及面板固定效应、门限模型和Tobit模型，实证支持了理论假说：只有当转移支付达到一定“门槛值”时，转移支付才会引起产业转移，转移支付对产业转移的弹性系数为0．1左右。此外，当前我国转移支付还带来了地区生产效率的降低，转移支付对地区生产效率的弹性系数为-0．02左右。这就表明，我国当前转移支付的政策能够增加欠发达地区的产业份额，但不能有效地缩小区域之间的生产效率差距，从而不能有效地促进区域协调发展。

英文摘要：

This paper constructs a ＂new＂ new economic geography model by the introduc- tion of firm heterogeneous factor into the new economic geography model to study the relation-ship among transfer payment, industrial transfer and regional TFP. Theoretical study shows that similar to the conclusions of new economic geography research, transfer payment can lead to industrial transfer, but there is a threshold effect. At the same time, owing to sorting effect, transfer payment leads to the reaction to subsidies firstly from enterprises with the lowest productivity, thereby resulting in the reduction in productivity in areas undertaking industrial transfer. Using the data of 31 provinces in China from 1999 to 2012, it calculates the total factor productivity according to data envelopment analysis （DEA） and employs panel fixed effect, threshold model and Tobit model to empirically confirm the theoretical hypotheses, only when transfer payment reaches the certain threshold value, transfer payment can lead to industrial transfer, and the coefficient of the elasticity of transfer payment to industrial transfer is about 0.1. Besides, transfer payment in China results in the reduction in regional TFP, and the coefficient of the elasticity of transfer payment to regional TFP is about --0.02. It means that although transfer payment policy can increase industrial shares in undeveloped areas in China, it cannot reduce regional productivity gap and thus cannot effectively promote regional coordination development.