中文摘要：

包虫病是新疆危害最严重的人畜共患寄生虫病．通过对历史数据分析，建立适当的组合模型较好地预测了新疆包虫病月发病数，模型为做好新疆包虫病预防控制工作起到积极作用．

英文摘要：

Echinococcosis is a zoonotic disease which Call threaten human health and de- vdopment of Animal husbandry seriously, and it is one of most serious endemic disease in Xinjiang. This study, which gives a forecast to the incidence of echinococcosis ill Xinjiang, establishes a Combined Model based on the historical data. It may play a positive role in preventing and controlling echinococcosis in Xinjiang.