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Forecasting and optimal probabilistic scheduling of surplus gas systems in iron and steel industry
  • ISSN号:1006-706X
  • 期刊名称:《钢铁研究学报:英文版》
  • 时间:0
  • 分类:O211.62[理学—概率论与数理统计;理学—数学] P618.13[天文地球—矿床学;天文地球—地质学]
  • 作者机构:[1]Engineering Research Center of Metallurgical Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction of Ministry of Education, State Key Laboratory of Complex Non-ferrous Metal Resources Clean Utilization (Kunming University of Science and Technology), Kunming 650093, China, [2]Quality Development Institute, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China
  • 相关基金:Project(51204082)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China; Project(KKSY201458118)supported by the Talent Cultivation Project of Kuning University of Science and Technology,China
中文摘要:

To make full use of the gas resource, stabilize the pipe network pressure, and obtain higher economic benefits in the iron and steel industry, the surplus gas prediction and scheduling models were proposed. Before applying the forecasting techniques, a support vector classifier was first used to classify the data, and then the filtering was used to create separate trend and volatility sequences. After forecasting, the Markov chain transition probability matrix was introduced to adjust the residual. Simulation results using surplus gas data from an iron and steel enterprise demonstrate that the constructed SVC-HP-ENN-LSSVM-MC prediction model prediction is accurate, and that the classification accuracy is high under different conditions. Based on this, the scheduling model was constructed for surplus gas operating, and it has been used to investigate the comprehensive measures for managing the operational probabilistic risk and optimize the economic benefit at various working conditions and implementations. It has extended the concepts of traditional surplus gas dispatching systems, and provides a method for enterprises to determine optimal schedules.

英文摘要:

To make full use of the gas resource, stabilize the pipe network pressure, and obtain higher economic benefits in the iron and steel industry, the surplus gas prediction and scheduling models were proposed. Before applying the forecasting techniques, a support vector classifier was first used to classify the data, and then the filtering was used to create separate trend and volatility sequences. After forecasting, the Markov chain transition probability matrix was introduced to adjust the residual. Simulation results using surplus gas data from an iron and steel enterprise demonstrate that the constructed SVC-HP-ENN-LSSVM-MC prediction model prediction is accurate, and that the classification accuracy is high under different conditions. Based on this, the scheduling model was constructed for surplus gas operating, and it has been used to investigate the comprehensive measures for managing the operational probabilistic risk and optimize the economic benefit at various working conditions and implementations. It has extended the concepts of traditional surplus gas dispatching systems, and provides a method for enterprises to determine optimal schedules.

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期刊信息
  • 《钢铁研究学报:英文版》
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 主管单位:中国钢铁工业协会
  • 主办单位:冶金部钢铁研究总院
  • 主编:Tian Zhi-ling
  • 地址:北京学院南路76号
  • 邮编:100081
  • 邮箱:gtyjxb-e@163.com
  • 电话:010-62182295
  • 国际标准刊号:ISSN:1006-706X
  • 国内统一刊号:ISSN:11-3678/TF
  • 邮发代号:82-767
  • 获奖情况:
  • 国内外数据库收录:
  • 美国化学文摘(网络版),荷兰文摘与引文数据库,美国工程索引,美国剑桥科学文摘,美国科学引文索引(扩展库),英国科学文摘数据库,日本日本科学技术振兴机构数据库,中国中国科技核心期刊
  • 被引量:167