中文摘要：

在区域经济一体化过程当中，经济活动的空间结构通常会发生变化。与此同时，地区的经济结构也会相应发生变化。“克鲁格曼假说”认为经济一体化将导致地区专业化水平提高和经济活动更加集中，但有研究认为专业化和地理集中并不始终同时出现。本文采用偏移份额模型将中国地区制造业增长分解为结构效应和空间效应．通过两种非参数方法对产业活动的空间效应进行分解．试图阐述在中国经济市场化过程中制造业区位变迁的内在规律．进而检验“克鲁格曼假说”在中国的适用性．

英文摘要：

Space distribution of economic activity usually changes in integration process of regional economies development. Meanwhile, structure of region economic will change correspondingly. It was said by Krugman＇s hypothesis that economy integration lead to rise of area specialization level and concentration on economic activity especially. But some research think that specialization and geographical concentration don＇t appear all together at the same time. This paper adopts shift-share model to decompose the increases of Chinese area manufacturing industry to structure effect and space effect, and analysis space effect by two kinds of not-parameter methods, and try to expound some inherent law of manufacturing industry region change in China economy process, and check the serviceability of Krugman＇s hypothesis in China then.