利用2012年“西安市农村流动人口发展状况调查”数据,使用卡方检验和二分Logistic回归,在代次视角下分析农民工政治参与意愿的特征和组织参与对农民工政治参与意愿的影响。研究发现:农民工政治参与意愿具有稳定的制度性偏好,但新生代农民工非制度化参与的风险增加;组织化能够显著提升农民工的政治参与意愿,随着代次更替,作用方向不变,但程度减弱;农民工经济收入的增加,具有同时促进制度化和抑制非制度化参与倾向的作用。
Using data from a 2012 survey of migrant workers in Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, the political participation preference and the effect of association involvement on migrant workers' intention of political participation were revealed. Results show that migrant workers have more preference to institutionalized political participation, but the new generation has higher risk of non--institutionalized participation; migrant workers who joining associations in city simultaneously have higher willingness of institutionalized and non--institutionalized political participation; to new generation, the positive effect of association involvement remains, but decreased; higher income tends to increase the institutionalized willingness and decrease the non-- institutional willingness.