基于新疆6个地州维吾尔族农民的701份调查问卷数据,运用有序Probit模型分析社会关系、就业帮扶和务工信心等非经济因素对维吾尔族农民外出务工意愿的影响。结果表明:社会关系中的是否有亲戚、朋友、老乡在城镇务工和城乡生活习惯是否接近变量,就业帮扶中的就业信息指导、技能培训变量,务工信心中的务工技能、语言沟通变量等,显著影响农民外出务工意愿;配偶是否在城镇务工、城市是否有较多本民族同胞、住房、子女就学、医疗与失业保障、人身安全保障、文化知识、务工经验、就业风险态度和找工作的难易程度没有通过显著性检验。
This article uses Ordinal Probit regression models to analyze the relationship between social relations. employment assistance, migrant confidence and migrant wishes of Uighur rural laborers based on 701 questionnaires of 6 prefectures in Xinjiang. The results showed that, these variables including whether having relatives, friends, common villagers working in town, whether lifestyle of urban and rural being similar, employment information guidance, skills training, migrant skills and language communication had a significant effect on the migrant willingness; while other variables such as whether spouses working in town. whether more ethnic compatriots in city. housing, children education, medical and unemployment insurance, cultural knowledge ~ migrant experience, employment risk attitude and the difficulty to find a job did not have significant effect.