中文摘要：

根据渤海海洋资源可持续利用的特征，建立了以社会经济发展、生态环境和资源利用之间相互关系为主线的系统动力学模型，并对2012—2030年渤海海洋资源开发利用状态进行了动态仿真模拟预测,优选出渤海海洋资源可持续利用的优化调控取向。模拟结果显示，渤海海洋资源可持续利用状态主要受技术发展水平、污染物排放量、海洋资源消耗等因素的影响和制约，加大海洋科技投入，走科教兴海之路，是推动渤海海洋经济持续、快速、健康发展的必由之路。本文成果可以为我国渤海海洋资源可持续发展的政策制定提供参考。

英文摘要：

According to the features of the Bohai Sea sustainable use of marine resources, establishing a system dynamics model of the main line of the relationship between socio-economic development, ecological environment and resource utilization, dynamic simulation forecast the state of 2012-2030 Bo- hal sea marine resources development and utilization. Optimally select sustainable use of Bohai Sea ma- rine resources optimization regulation orientation. Simulation results show that the Bohai Sea marine resources for the state of sustainable use are mainly affected by the level of technological developments, pollutant emissions, marine resource consumption factors and constraints, increasing investment in ma- rine science and technology and taking the way of revitalizing the sea through science and education is the only way to promote the sustained, rapid and healthy development of the Bohai Sea marine econo- my, promote marine economy in the Bohai Sea sustained, rapid and healthy development of the only way. The results of the paper can provide a reference for the sustainable development of Bohai Sea ma- rine resources policymakers.