探讨冲突分析技术的理论框架,在此基础上提出一种基于图示模型的冲突分析方法。决策者从当前局势出发,依据相关决策规则,实施局势转移,分析实际可达到局势以及冲突均衡,并重点关注实现均衡目标相应的最短途径。模型适用于决策者轮流协商、交替决策的冲突事件。并给出一个水资源冲突问题的研究实例。
In this paper,the framework of the traditional technique is introduced and one graph model for conflict resolution is proposed.It is suggested that,starting from the initial state,decision-makers will transit conflict state according to conflict rules and predict the reachable states and available equilibrium,as well as the least-cost transition path.All players are designed to negotiate and make decisions alternatively.Finally,one case study of water resources conflict problem is carried out.