中文摘要：

本文在对相关文献总结梳理的基础上，分析了河北省农业保险发展现状和现存问题，采集河北省2007—2013年11个市的面板数据，构建静态和动态面板计量模型，实证分析了河北省农业保险对农业生产影响的方向和力度，并对实证结果进行了子样本的稳健性检验。无论是全样本还是子样本，实证结果一致认为：农业保险对农业生产具有显著的促进作用，并且其对农业生产的促进作用依赖于各地区的农业风险水平，其影响力度会随着农业风险水平的增加而增大；另外，人均农作物播种面积、农业保险赔付率、人力资本对农业生产也具有正向影响，而农业风险对农业生产具有负向影响。

英文摘要：

Basedona review ofexistingresearches, this paper analyzed the curre agricultural insurance in Hebei province. Using 11 cities panel data of Hebei structed the static and dynamic panel econometric models to study empirically nt situation and existing problems of province from 2007 to 2013, it con- the direction and strength of agricul- tural insurance impacts on agricultural production, and tested the stabilityof the results for sub-samples. For both the fullsample and the sub-sample, the empirical results all showed thatagricultural insurance had significant effects on agricultural production, its role in promoting agricultural production depended on the agricultural risk level of each region, and its influence increased with the increase of the agricultural risk level. In addition, per capita sown area of crops, agricultural insurance loss ratioand human capital all had positive effects on the agricultural production, but the agricultural risk level had negative impacts on agricultural production.