依据“期望-方差增减变化吻合原则”对2003-2012年我国专利实施许可合同的增减趋势与相应年份不同渠道融资额的相关性进行实证分析,结果表明:金融机构科技贷款额与专利实施许可合同的增减趋势吻合度最高,其次为创业板IPO融资额、中小企业板IPO融资额、新三板企业融资额、创业风险投资额,排在最后的为财政科技投入,进而初步给出各渠道融资额较为合理的控制区间,为发挥财政科技投入、多层次资本市场、银行业金融机构创新金融产品等对科技成果转化的作用提供了定量依据.
In the light of the "expectation-variancethe relevance between the rising orfallingchangescoinciding" principle, an empirical analysis is made ontrends for enactment of patent licensing contracts in China in the years from2003 to 2012 and the financing totals in the corresponding year from different channels. The results show that: sci-ence-tech loan extension of financial institutions ranks the first in consistence with the rising or falling trends for theenactment of patent licensing contracts, which is followed by GEM IPO financing, SME IPO financing, NEEQ finan-cing, venture investment, and that the fiscal science-tech investment is the bottom one, hence a more reasonable con-trolling zone for financing amounts as against various financing channels is given on a preliminary basis. The study willprovide a quantitative basis for fiscal science-tech investment, multi-level capital market, and banking financial insti-tutions' innovative financial products to support the transformation of scientific and technological achievements.