基于意愿调查法,同时使用支付卡式和单边界二分法式诱导技术,调查人们对于胶州湾围填海生态环境损害进行恢复的支付意愿,推断围填海的年生态损害值及单位围填海的生态成本。结果表明,使用单边界二分法时,人们平均每年愿意为围填海生态损害进行恢复支付591.29元,胶州湾围填海生态损害总价值为19.76亿元/a,单位围填海的生态成本为10.2元/(m2·a);使用支付卡式时,平均每年愿意支付247.53元,胶州湾围填海生态损害总价值为8.22亿元/a,单位围填海的生态成本为4.25元/(m2·a);采用两种方式所得结果作为生态损失值区间,可以提高评估结果的准确性。该研究结论可为围填海工程的成本效益分析以及生态补偿提供参考。
Reclamation can bring enormous social and economic benefits, but also have serious damage to coastal ecological environment. Under the present system, especially in developing countries, enterprises and government always carry out reclamation projects for huge economic interests and ignore ecological damage. Assessing the extent of eco logical damage resulting from reclamation is conducive to the sustainable development and management of coastal re sources. Contingent valuation method (CVM) can estimate the total economic value of the use value and nonuse val ue, which is widely used on environment public goods valuation. Using of elicitation method of payment card and sin glebounded dichotomous choice simultaneously, this paper survey the local people' s willingness to pay to restore eco logical environment from reclamation in Jiaozhou Bay, and use the total population in 2011 and the reclamation scale from 1922 to 2010 in Jiaozhou Bay to calculate the total ecological damage value and the ecological cost of unit recla mation. The research results show that based on singlebounded dichotomous choice, people would pay 591.29 Yuan per year for the ecological damage of Jiaozhou Bay reclamation. The total ecological damage value is 1. 976 billion Yuan per year, and the ecological cost of unit reclamation is 10.2 Yuan/( m2·a). Based on payment card, people' s willing to pay is 247.53 Yuan per year. The total ecological damage value is 0. 822 billion Yuan per year. And the ecological cost of unit reclamation is 4.25 Yuan/(m2 · a). In addition, the analysis of influence factors shows thatthe income and level of education to the results of this study, policy of respondents has a significant positive effect on WTP. According makers have been provided with more detailed information for cost- benefit analysis and ecological compensation of reclamation